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Stop the Insanity! Fear is the mind killer. Panepipanicdemic

by Hawke published Mar 23, 2020 09:20 AM, last modified Apr 20, 2020 10:44 AM
I am part of the immuno-compromised, and have been for many years, and especially with significant lung damage and on immune suppressing inhaled steroids, etc. Every day I run the risk of a pathogen killing me quickly causing me to drown in my own fluids. I have also worked in healthcare on and off since 1990. I am all for good hygiene, but everyone needs to de-escalate the disproportionate response in their over-reactivity. Adapt good healthy habits that should always have been there in the first place, but stop listening to the hype and focus on the reality. Better yet, quit focusing on what you have no control over, and do focus on what you do have control over, that will help down-regulate your fear response.

"Fear is the mind killer" -Dune by Frank Herbert.

 

"The only thing we have to fear is fear itself" -FDR

 

Panepipanicdemic *

 

Stop Feeding the Fear Dragon, DO Feed the Science/Reality Dragon

Please join me in trying to help teach people to stop feeding the Fear Dragon, while also learning and maintaining good hygiene habits.

I have been asking people for decades, especially men, to wash their hands, practice decent hygiene etc, but for the most part (except my kids) it has mostly been ignored.

Now people have swung to a ridiculous extreme the other way.

What you are doing TO SUCH AN EXTREME, socially isolating (to an extreme), is going to (if it hasn't already) kill far more people than the pathogen itself will.

As per the GenConTV discussion Friday, using the example longitudinal studies:

  • For every social group a person drops, there is on average a 10%+ decrease in quality of life.
  • Seniors with a 2% death rate losing 1 of 2 social groups increase to 5%, and losing both groups for a sustained period of time, when not even in a crisis situation, increases to 12%+, and then goes up exponentially during extended crises.
  • (BMJ Open, Vol. 6, No. 2, 2016)
  • Social isolation, especially in crisis, can have an exponential effects on health and death rates. For example research shows a 200% increase in the early death rate for "Blacks" (term study used), and 60-80% increase for "whites". (American Journal of Epidemiology, Vol. 188, No. 1, 2019).
  • Social isolation leads to 30% increase in the risk of stroke or the development of coronary heart disease (Heart, Vol. 102, No. 13).

This doesn't mean be stupid about hygiene now that you have gotten a wake up call to the reality that there are innumerable pathogens around that can kill you every day, and especially to be considerate of those of us that are elderly and/or immuno-compromised, but don't live your life so over-reactively just in fear, try to moderate your response in a more balanced way and help turn the fundamentals of what you are learning into healthy habits, while re-establishing life balance..

Tune out the over-hyped misleading media and leaders taking advantage of your fear to seize more power over you.

DO ADAPT TO A MORE HYGIENIC LIFESTYLE, but moderate to reality not panic.

Here are some practical good basic hygiene things you should always have been doing.

  • When YOU are sick, stay home, work from home. If you have to go out THEN you wear a mask and such, that is out of consideration of others, it doesn't usually help your selfish fears about your catching from others, but it does help reduce you spreading to others when you know you are sick.
  • Maintain "social distance" from the elderly or immunocompromised, BUT DON'T SOCIALLY ISOLATE.
  • Call senior adults, people with disabilities, neurodifferences, or health issues regularlly (phone, Internet, whatever), on a regular schedule they can look forward to (and don't flake), this makes a huge difference in THEIR immune system and life quality / lifespan.
  • Do wash your hands frequently (especially after using the bathroom men!).
  • Do you paper towels to open and close the bathroom door when you are leaving.
  • Do get out of the habit of touching your face all the time.
  • Do cover your coughs and sneezes with the inside of your elbow or other something better (not your hands and not openly). There is no perfect method, but some are more helpful than others (see this Mythbusters clips).
  • Do regularly clean your house doorknobs, light switches, bathrooms, sink handles, car steering wheel & doors, etc.

 

Tangential but relevant side rant: Meanwhile, realize that you're being suckered into over responding and giving up your freedoms, and once they are gone, rarely do those in power let it go. Look at the  USA Patriot Act and wars in over-response to 9/11. The supposed "Sundown clause" that was supposed to make it go away after 5 years, but of course just gets extended and increased instead. The political "leaders" took advantage of your fears and grew their power while curtailing your freedoms. We now have an entire generation that doesn't know how dramatically more free we were before 2002.

If YOU are sick, stay home. If you are not, get back out there (using reasonable safe hygiene practices) and save the economy by supporting the few struggling (especially small) businesses that are staying open (while maintaining good hygiene practices daily).

There have always been, and always will be, so many deadly pathogens out there every day.

Are you going to live the rest of your life as "Bubble Boy"?

Don't go back to your old unsanitary habits, but do moderate and stop feeding the fear dragon and get life rolling again.

 

Serious Consequences of the Bans:

Surgeries that have been postponed so far include hip and knee replacements, A.C.L. reconstruction and pediatric apnea surgery.

Cancelled cancer surgery & chemo:

  • Washington state: https://www.king5.com/article/news/cancer-patients-turned-away-from-surgeries-as-hospitals-prepare-for-the-worst/281-4c1fd12a-a47c-4339-8629-aa7791f76cda
  • Seattle: Swedish Medical Center performed about 20 percent as many surgeries as is typical. Kirkland canceled more than 30 procedures planned for Friday alone.   https://dnyuz.com/2020/03/15/her-cancer-surgery-was-canceled-at-a-hospital-bracing-for-coronavirus/

 

 

Example Annual Death Numbers:

Tuberculosis (TB): US:    Worldwide:   58,000,000 infected, 1,500,000 died in 2018. (https://www.who.int/tb/global-report-2019

Strep Group A (GAS): US:  ~1,000 to 1,700 deaths/yr (11.7%-14.8% case-fatality rate)   Worldwide: >500,000/yr (https://academic.oup.com/cid/article/45/7/863/542453

Strep Group B:   US:    Worldwide: causes an estimated 150,000 preventable stillbirths and infant deaths every year (https://www.who.int/immunization/newsroom/press/news_group_b_strep_stillbirths_infant_deaths_2017/en/)

Staphylococcus aureus:  US:   (500,000 hospitalizations) ~50,000/yr deaths (https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC4274785/) - ~20,000/yr deaths  (https://www.cdc.gov/media/releases/2019/p0305-deadly-staph-infections.html)  Worldwide:   

Influenza:   US:     Worldwide:  290,000 - 650,000 flu deaths in 2017 WHO report (https://www.who.int/news-room/detail/14-12-2017-up-to-650-000-people-die-of-respiratory-diseases-linked-to-seasonal-flu-each-year)

MRSA:     US:     Worldwide:    

Pneumonia:     US:     Worldwide:     2.56 million people died from pneumonia in 2017 (https://ourworldindata.org/pneumonia)

Cancer (I predict it is likely to spike in late 2020 / and throughout 2021 & 2022 due to the bans on exams, diagnostic equipment, surgeries, & chemo, the longer the bans are in place the worse the spike will be, since early intervention is the key to):      US:        Worldwide: 

 

 

Cardiovascular disease (#1 killer worldwide):  17.79 million in 2017 (https://ourworldindata.org/causes-of-death#what-do-people-die-from)

Cancers (#2 killer worldwide): 9.56 million

Respiratory diseases: 3.91 million

 

Other info

https://www.worldlifeexpectancy.com/world-rankings-total-deaths 

https://ourworldindata.org/causes-of-death#cause-by-cause

 

Fact checks

Germany requiring "Immunity Papers": Suggested but not yet policy as of 20200413: https://www.spiegel.de/wissenschaft/medizin/coronavirus-grosse-antikoerper-studie-soll-immunitaet-der-deutschen-feststellen-a-c8c64a33-5c0f-4630-bd73-48c17c1bad23 

 

Center for Disease Control (CDC)

CDC Numbers (ignore all the distorted samples that media and political power grabbing leaders are misleading you with):

https://www.cdc.gov/flu/about/burden/preliminary-in-season-estimates.htm

https://www.cdc.gov/flu/about/burden/index.html

 

World Health Organization (WHO)

WHO numbers:

https://www.who.int/news-room/fact-sheets

Severe Acute Respiratory Syndrome or SARS case-fatality = 10%

The 1918 influenza pandemic (Spanish flu) had a case-fatality ratio of less than 5%

COVID-19: 1.4% outside China, 3.4% with China numbers. (Even these numbers are heavily skewed because they are mostly just high-risk populations initially, as it spreads to general population the number is dropping rapidly).

Regarding COVID-19 Medical journal The Lancet warns any estimates should be “treated with great caution because not all patients have concluded their illness (ie, recovered or died) and the true number of infections and full disease spectrum are unknown”.

How far a virus will spread comes down to what’s known as the reproduction number, or R0. It relates to how many people each infected person will pass the illness on to.

There have been various estimates for the new COVID-19 so far from different sources, but the WHO put a preliminary estimate as between 1.4 and 2.5 (these are early estimates from initially limited mostly-high-risk population, this number keeps dropping significantly as it spreads to the wider general population).

The pandemic (2009 H1N1 60+ million infected, death rate for young = 0.4% to 1.9% up age 49, and up to 3.9% death rate for ages 50+) 2009 influenza virus, which was also known as swine flu, had a R0 of between 1.2 to 1.6, according to the WHO, which made controlling its spread easier than viruses with higher transmissibility.

(NCBI https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC3071719/)

 Measles has a much higher R0 at 12 to 18 people.  WHO.

 

 

All Diseases overviews - https://www.who.int/emergencies/diseases/en/

MERS-COV - https://www.who.int/emergencies/mers-cov/en/

https://www.who.int/emergencies/yellow-fever/en/

https://www.who.int/emergencies/crises/ssd/en/

https://www.who.int/emergencies/zika-virus-tmp/en/

https://www.who.int/influenza/resources/charts/en/

https://www.who.int/csr/resources/publications/swineflu/clinical_management_h1n1.pdf

https://www.who.int/csr/disease/swineflu/guidance/surveillance/WHO_case_definition_swine_flu_2009_04_29.pdf

H5N1

https://www.who.int/influenza/resources/research/2010_04_29_global_influenza_research_agenda_version_01_en.pdf

https://www.who.int/tb/data/en/

https://app.powerbi.com/view?r=eyJrIjoiYWU4YjUyN2YtMDBkOC00MGI1LTlhN2UtZGE5NThjY2E1ZThhIiwidCI6ImY2MTBjMGI3LWJkMjQtNGIzOS04MTBiLTNkYzI4MGFmYjU5MCIsImMiOjh9

 

 

 

Practical (Edutainment) Guidance from Mythbusters

 Mythbusters some useful lessons for those who were previously oblivious.

Catching contamination from inconsiderate person, notice how the real-life experienced "germaphobe" remains without contamination compared to everyone else: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=k1j8bh8_O_Q

 

Example of different techniques to attempt to reduce sneeze contamination spread. https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=3vw0hIs2LEg

 

 

 

 

Remember, this too will pass, help others to remember it as well.

Be safe, well, patient, kind, & loving.

 

 

 

* I don't know if others have done this, but I'm trying to coin a term for this level of global panic, something like:  Panepipanicdemic (Pan-epi-panic-demic) / Epipanic-demic / Epipanidemic? Also: Epipanic, Panpanic, Panpanidemic, Epipanpanidemic, Panepipanicdemic.

  • Pun / double meaning for Pan: pandemos ""all, every, whole, all-inclusive,""
  • Epi = among,upon
  • Pun / double meaning for Pan: Panic = panikon (pertaining to Pan: "the god of woods and fields, who was the source of mysterious sounds that caused contagious, groundless fear in herds and crowds, or in people in lonely spots.")
  • demic from demos = people,district

 

 

 

 

P.S.  Another glaring proof from all of this insanity is total proof that the model of urban density and public transit is a fatal model.

Not only does suburban and rural living equal improved quality of life, including the often derided "car culture", diffused rather than concentrated housing and individual car transportation in the case of diseases no only increases overall quality of life which indirectly saves millions of lives each year (stress related diseases), it directly saves millions of lives from contagion which thrives in high density settings that rely on public transportation.

 

 

 

 

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